Musytari : Jurnal Manajemen, Akuntansi, dan Ekonomi

Vol. 25 No. 9 (2026): Musytari: Neraca Manajemen, Akuntansi, dan Ekonomi, ISSN 3025-9495
Articles

ANALISIS KAUSALITAS ANTARA KONSUMSI ENERGI FOSIL PER KAPITA, GDP PER KAPITA, DAN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT DI NEGARA-NEGARA ASEAN

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  • Maisa Mahran Rahmahhani,
  • Siti Fatimah Zahra,
  • Sri Indah Nikensari
Maisa Mahran Rahmahhani
Universitas Negeri Jakarta
Siti Fatimah Zahra
Universitas Negeri Jakarta
Sri Indah Nikensari
Universitas Negeri Jakarta
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2238/xqs5bs43

Published 2026-08-17

Keywords

  • Konsumsi Energi Fosil per Kapita,
  • GDP per Kapita,
  • Foreign Direct Investment,
  • Kausalitas Panel,
  • Dumitrescu-Hurlin,
  • Toda-Yamamoto,
  • ASEAN
    • ...More
    Less

How to Cite

ANALISIS KAUSALITAS ANTARA KONSUMSI ENERGI FOSIL PER KAPITA, GDP PER KAPITA, DAN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT DI NEGARA-NEGARA ASEAN. (2026). Musytari : Jurnal Manajemen, Akuntansi, Dan Ekonomi, 25(9). https://doi.org/10.2238/xqs5bs43

Abstract

Penelitian ini menganalisis hubungan kausalitas antara Konsumsi energi fosil per kapita, GDP per kapita, dan Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) di enam negara ASEAN (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapura, Thailand, Vietnam, dan Filipina) selama periode 2005–2024. Dengan menggunakan data panel seimbang sebanyak 120 observasi, analisis dilakukan melalui uji stasioneritas panel, uji kointegrasi panel Pedroni, estimasi ARDL Pooled Mean Group (PMG), serta uji kausalitas panel Dumitrescu-Hurlin dengan augmentasi Toda-Yamamoto (DH-TY) — kombinasi metode yang dipilih karena sesuai dengan orde integrasi campuran, I(0) dan I(1), yang ditemukan pada variabel penelitian. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan terdapat tiga hubungan kausalitas satu arah yang signifikan, yaitu dari GDP per kapita menuju FDI (prob. 0,0000), dari Konsumsi energi fosil per kapita menuju FDI (prob. 0,0002), dan dari GDP per kapita menuju Konsumsi energi fosil per kapita (prob. 0,0292), sementara tidak ditemukan kausalitas pada arah sebaliknya. Estimasi jangka panjang ARDL PMG turut menunjukkan bahwa Konsumsi energi fosil per kapita dan GDP per kapita bergerak searah dan kuat, dengan elastisitas yang mendekati uniter.
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